TITLE

Global Trade Perspective - Trunks, Suitcases, Vanity Cases, Executive Cases, Briefcases & School Satchels with Outer Surfaces of Plastics

AUTHOR(S)
Parker, Philip M.
PUB. DATE
May 2005
SOURCE
Global Trade Perspective 2005 - Trunks, Suitcases, Vanity Cases,;2005, p1
SOURCE TYPE
Industry Profile
DOC. TYPE
Industry Overview
ABSTRACT
This report was created for strategic planners, international executives and import/export managers who are concerned with the market for trunks, suitcases, vanity cases, executive cases, briefcases, and school satchels with outer surfaces of plastics or textile materials. With the globalization of this market, managers can no longer be contented with a local view. Nor can managers be contented with out-of-date statistics that appear several years after the fact. I have developed a methodology, based on macroeconomic and trade models, to estimate the market for trunks, suitcases, vanity cases, executive cases, briefcases, and school satchels with outer surfaces of plastics or textile materials for those countries serving the world market via exports or supplying from various countries via imports. I do so for the current year based on a variety of key historical indicators and econometric models. On the demand side, exporters and strategic planners approaching the world market face a number of questions. Which countries are supplying trunks, suitcases, vanity cases, executive cases, briefcases, and school satchels with outer surfaces of plastics or textile materials? What is the dollar value of these imports? How much do the imports of trunks, suitcases, vanity cases, executive cases, briefcases, and school satchels with outer surfaces of plastics or textile materials vary from one country to another? Do exporters serving the world market have similar market shares across the importing countries? Which countries supply the most exports of trunks, suitcases, vanity cases, executive cases, briefcases, and school satchels with outer surfaces of plastics or textile materials? Which countries are buying their exports? What is the value of these exports and which countries are the largest buyers? In what follows, Chapter 2 begins by summarizing the regional markets for imported and exported trunks, suitcases, vanity cases, executive cases, briefcases, and school satchels with outer surfaces of plastics or textile materials. The total level of imports and exports on a worldwide basis, and those for each region, is based on a model which aggregates across over 150 key country markets and projects these to the current year. From there, each country represents a percent of the world market. This market is served from a number of competitive countries of origin. Based on both demand- and supply-side dynamics, market shares by country of origin are then calculated across each country market destination. These shares lead to a volume of import and export values for each country and are aggregated to regional and world totals. In doing so, we are able to obtain maximum likelihood estimates of both the value of each market and the shares that countries are likely to receive this year. From these figures, rankings are calculated to allow managers to prioritize markets. In this way, all the figures provided in this report are forecasts that can be...
ACCESSION #
20769926

 

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