Peak oil, peak technology?

Levenson, M. David
February 2008
Microlithography World;Feb2008, Vol. 17 Issue 1, p20
Trade Publication
The author discusses the prediction made by geophysicist M. King Hubbert in 1956 that oil production in the U.S. would peak and begin to decline in the 1970s. The author compares science and technology to oil questioning whether the exponential technology growth exemplified by the Moore's Law was just an early behavior of an enterprise obeying a Hubbert curve. He suggests that the mechanism for technology may differ from that for oil, but Hubbert showed a reason that exponential growth is not forever.


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