Moore's Law is dead The consumer market killed it

Donovan, John
May 2006
Portable Design;May2006, Vol. 12 Issue 5, p6
The article reports that a group of engineers are predicting the end of Moore's Law, which holds that the complexity of an IC, with respect to minimum component cost, will double every 18 months. One camp holds that the law will run off the end in the next 5 to 10 years and by that time engineers will no longer be able to scale CMOS effectively. That may be true, but new nanotechnology materials including carbon nanotubes, silicon nanocrystals and even MEMS devices such as IBM's Millipede will probably pick up where CMOS leaves off, or at least it may provide a major life extension.


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