TITLE

Estimating NHL Scoring Rates

AUTHOR(S)
Samuel Buttrey; Alan Washburn; Wilson Price
PUB. DATE
July 2011
SOURCE
Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports;Jul2011, Vol. 7 Issue 3, p1334
SOURCE TYPE
Academic Journal
DOC. TYPE
Article
ABSTRACT
We propose a model to estimate the rates at which NHL teams score and yield goals. In the model, goals occur as if from a Poisson process whose rate depends on the two teams playing, the home-ice advantage, and the manpower (power-play, short-handed) situation. Data on all the games from the 2008-2009 season was downloaded and processed into a form suitable for the analysis. The model seems to perform adequately in prediction and should be useful for handicapping and for informing the decision as to when to pull the goalie.
ACCESSION #
65233893

 

Related Articles

  • INSIDE DISH.  // Sporting News;2/18/2008, Vol. 232 Issue 7, p36 

    The article focuses on the performance of National Hockey League (NHL) goalkeepers Chris Osgood and Dominik Hasek during the 2007-2008 season. Osgood and Hasek are both players on the Detroit Red Wings, and are vying for the number one goaltender position for the upcoming playoffs. Osgood has...

  • Newcomer at the Net.  // Time;3/9/1970, Vol. 95 Issue 10, p74 

    The article offers information on the performance of the goalkeeper of hockey team Chicago Black Hawks, Tony Esposito at the National Hockey League (NHL) tournament. As stated, Tony was the only Black Hawk player elected to the East division team. Tony performed consistently as a N.H.L. goalie,...

  • A shared goal. Farber, Michael // Sports Illustrated;05/26/97, Vol. 86 Issue 21, p50 

    Discusses Philadelphia Flyers head coach Terry Murrary decision to enter the National Hockey League playoff's using a two goalie system. Past teams who used two goalies in the playoffs; Profiles of Garth Snow and Ron Hextall, both Philadelphia goalies; Comments from Snow and others.

  • Responses to Scoring or Conceding the First Goal in the NHL. Marshall Jones // Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports;Jul2011, Vol. 7 Issue 3, p1324 

    In low-scoring sports such as ice hockey or soccer, which team scores the first goal is critically important to game outcome. By the same token, how a team responds to scoring or conceding the first goal is also important. If a team responds well when it concedes the first goal, it may win out...

  • Mr. X Factor. Silver, Michael // Sports Illustrated;4/2/2007, Vol. 106 Issue 14, p64 

    The article profiles hockey goalie Roberto Luongo. He was traded to the Vancouver Canucks' hockey team in 2006. For the first time in his career Luongo is heading to the 2007 National Hockey League (NHL) playoffs. Luongo leads the NHL with 43 wins and second in save percentage. The Canucks have...

  • THE VIOLENT SKILLS OF ICE HOCKEY. Leggett, William // Sports Illustrated;12/14/1959, Vol. 11 Issue 24, p57 

    The article describes techniques used by ice hockey players in defending, attacking and guarding the goal. In an actual National Hockey League (NHL) game, ten individuals are racing on the field, banging each other and striking the puck, with the single aim of making a score by penetrating the...

  • One-man Show. Habib, Daniel G. // Sports Illustrated;4/15/2002, Vol. 96 Issue 16, p84 

    Discusses the role goalie Jos� Th�odore has had in the success of the Montreal Canadiens during the 2001-02 National Hockey League season. Strong performance of Th�odore in leading an otherwise mediocre team into playoff contention; League rank in save percentage and...

  • IN THE ZONE. Wigge, Larry // Sporting News;05/15/2000, Vol. 224 Issue 20, p44 

    Features Patrick Roy, goaltender of National Hockey League's Colorado Avalanche. Ability to carry teams on his back in the playoffs; Passion for the game; Leadership qualities of Roy. INSET: His motor is always racing..

  • Some Very Puckish Kids.  // Sports Illustrated;11/13/2000, Vol. 93 Issue 20, p74 

    Discusses the number of rookie goalkeepers in the National Hockey League during the 2000-01 season. Success of those goalkeepers for the St. Louis Blues, Colorado Avalanche, Phoenix Coyotes and San Jose Sharks, who are a combined 17-1-2, as of November 13; Impact of various injuries on forcing...

Share

Read the Article

Courtesy of THE LIBRARY OF VIRGINIA

Sorry, but this item is not currently available from your library.

Try another library?
Sign out of this library

Other Topics