Is Nuclear War Likely

Beilenson, Laurence W.
December 1980
National Review;12/12/1980, Vol. 32 Issue 25, p1507
The article examines the possibility of a nuclear war between the U.S. and the Soviet Union as of 1980. It calls for the U.S. to develop active defense against nuclear missiles due to the perceived destructive impact of a Soviet first nuclear strike. It assesses the danger posed by the U.S. reliance on deterrence. It also argues that the Soviet Union has another version of deterrence, believing that with their civil defense, Soviet casualties would be limited. It argues that the fundamental problem with deterrence is its assumptions about human nature and behavior.


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