TITLE

A Game-Theoretic Approach to Personnel Decisions in American Football

AUTHOR(S)
Erin McGough; Curtis Clemons; Michael Ferrara; Timothy Norfolk; Gerald Young
PUB. DATE
October 2010
SOURCE
Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports;Oct2010, Vol. 6 Issue 4, p1255
SOURCE TYPE
Academic Journal
DOC. TYPE
Article
ABSTRACT
The aim of this paper is to develop a game-theoretic framework to study the impact of player personnel changes on offensive productivity in American football. We develop a new model, the improvement in passing model, which is used to determine the optimal proportion of run and pass plays that a team should call. The model determines the optimal run/pass balance in terms of parameters that reflect a recent change (generally, in our case, an increase) in efficacy of a team's passing offense. The model assumes a residual positive effect on the team's running game occurs as a result of the improved passing attack. Several conclusions are drawn, most surprisingly that improvements in a team's expected gains via the passing game imply that the team should, in fact, run more frequently to optimize their overall offensive productivity. We conclude with an example studying the 2009 acquisition of Jay Cutler by the Chicago Bears.
ACCESSION #
55148574

 

Related Articles

  • Up for Grabs. J. W. L. // New Yorker;10/16/1971, Vol. 47 Issue 35, p165 

    The article reports on developments in U.S. football as of October 16, 1971. The role of wrong-way touchdown passes were highlighted in the losses of Cleveland Browns against Saint Louis Cardinals a month back, and against Oakland Raiders in second week of October. Penn State beat the Army 42-0,...

  • MAKING THE SNAP DECISIONS. Taylor, Phil // Sports Illustrated;9/6/2010, Vol. 113 Issue 8, p64 

    The article focuses on football player Matt Sanchez, quarterback for the New York Jets of the National Football League (NFL). Sanchez's decision making process on passing plays is examined, as he had 20 interceptions in the 2009 season as a rookie. Sanchez is depicted as a self-confident...

  • Benjamin Mustangs entered in National Passing Championship.  // Munday Courier (TX);05/24/2006, Vol. 33 Issue 27, p1 

    This article reports that the Benjamin Mustangs football team will participate in the Bryson, Texas qualifying tournaments in June 2006 in preparation for the July 2006 National 6-on-6 Passing Championships in Colorado, Texas. The Benjamin Mustangs is likely to face the Gustine Tigers, which...

  • You gotta believe. Gordon, Jason // Hays Free Press (Buda, TX);12/06/2006, Vol. 103 Issue 34, p1 

    The article focuses on the sensational victory of Hays Rebels team over Calallen team in a Football game. Hays team player, Clayton Rogers has taken an astonishing catch which was passed by Hays's Brooks Pinckard, that moved the team to play in Division II finals against Clemens team in...

  • BUFFALO BILLS. Wilson, Allen // Sporting News;11/1/2004, Vol. 228 Issue 44, p39 

    The article presents information on various football players. Football player Mark Campbell has become a larger part of the passing offense. He's a big target in the red zone and creates mismatches against smaller defensive backs. He runs well, has reliable hands and runs precise patterns that...

  • MIAMI DOLPHINS. Cole, Jason // Sporting News;11/1/2004, Vol. 228 Issue 44, p39 

    The article presents information on various football players. Football player Chris Chambers put up good numbers (three catches, 128 yards) against the Rams, but don't conclude too quickly that he finally is getting himself free consistently. He got open on two unusual plays, a 48-yard pass from...

  • NEW YORK JETS. Cimini, Rich // Sporting News;11/1/2004, Vol. 228 Issue 44, p39 

    The article presents information on various football players. Football player John Abraham, always known for his pass-rushing ability, no longer is a one-dimensional player. He has improved against the run, showing discipline and technique. He squares up against blockers, holding his ground...

  • FIVE FAVORITES.  // Soccer Journal;Jan/Feb2013, Vol. 58 Issue 1, p38 

    The article presents several football techniques including warm-up, passing and receiving activity and possession exercise. It notes that each stage has different techniques to be performed by each player and for the team as a whole. It also discusses the several progressions for advancement of...

  • NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS. Felger, Michael // Sporting News;11/1/2004, Vol. 228 Issue 44, p39 

    The article presents information on various football players. Football player Stephen Meal appears to have solidified his hold on the starting job. He is a force on running plays, particularly when he pulls to his left. He has impressive strength, and his quickness makes him special, but he must...

Share

Read the Article

Courtesy of THE LIBRARY OF VIRGINIA

Sorry, but this item is not currently available from your library.

Try another library?
Sign out of this library

Other Topics