TITLE

INDUSTRIAL CONFLICT: THE POWER OF PREDICTION

AUTHOR(S)
Dubin, Robert
PUB. DATE
April 1965
SOURCE
ILR Review;Apr65, Vol. 18 Issue 3, p352
SOURCE TYPE
Academic Journal
DOC. TYPE
Article
ABSTRACT
The article attempts to subject one sociological contribution to the most stringent test of all -- the ability accurately to predict the course of industrial conflict. This should speak for itself as an example of usefulness of sociology to the disciplines analyzing industrial relations. The article states the prediction as made, secondly marshals the evidence bearing on it, thirdly reviews the model from which the prediction was generated and lastly shows how another model was developed. The past and present do contain at least some of the seeds of the future. While straight extrapolation may be pointless and misleading, a prediction based upon a model of the future social system can be very much in order. For a sociologist in particular, concerned as he is with the stabilities and regularities of social life, there is almost a compulsion to see the scientific task as requiring prediction. But if the tools of social analysis are useful, then the scientifically constructed models of the future social systems should give us the basis for predicting the state of one of the secondary sets of social practices, namely, industrial conflict. A concrete prediction was made ten years ago about the course of industrial conflict in the United States. The trend data bearing on this prediction seem to confirm the general accuracy of the prediction. This lends support to the model from which the prediction was generated. A second model, relating conflict to the power of union and company, complements the first and tested in one instance, the 1959 steel strike proves viable. Judged by results, the sociological analysis of industrial conflict may be considered a positive contribution to knowledge.
ACCESSION #
4468831

 

Related Articles

  • Foreword. Glass, John F. // Handbook of Clinical Sociology;2001, preceding p1 

    This section describes the purpose of clinical sociology and sociologists. Clinical sociology is the application of social theory and a sociological perspective to facilitate change. Clinical sociologists are primarily change agents who work with a client. Sociologists are trained to look at...

  • O FUTURO DAS CIÊNCIAS SOCIAIS: A sociologia em questão. Sallum, Jr., Brasilio // Sociologia, Problemas e Práticas;2005, Issue 48, p19 

    The article discusses in general terms the changes in sociology over recent decades, in which time it has declined in importance in the discipline of functionalism and marxism, whilst micro-sociology has grown and specialist sociological fields have multiplied. Although this state of affairs has...

  • Doing research on families with parents abroad: the search for theoretical background and research methods. Juozeliūnienė, Irena // Filosofija, Sociologija;2008, Vol. 2008 Issue 4, p72 

    Following Lithuania's accession to the EU in May 2004, family sociologists are confronting a new phenomenon: one of the parents or both leave to work abroad while their children stay in Lithuania under the guardianship, alone or in the child care institutions. These families and children are...

  • TOWARD AMATEUR SOCIOLOGY: A PROPOSAL FOR THE PROFESSION. Stebbins, Robert A. // American Sociologist;Nov78, Vol. 13 Issue 4, p239 

    Other sciences among them history, archaeology mineralogy, ornithology astronomy and entomology, have profited greatly from their vigorous amateur wings, which have existed along side of and sometimes preexisted the now dominant profession. The greatest single contribution of amateur science...

  • Not Quite in the Club. Stanfield, John H. // American Sociologist;Winter88, Vol. 19 Issue 4, p291 

    The articles published in this special TAS issue, Racial Diversity In Becoming a Sociologist, offer sobering insights into the marginal status of people of color in the profession of sociology. This essay provides introductory commentary on the various ways in which the marginality of...

  • Sociologists' Assessments of the State of Sociology, 1969-1984. Hargens, Lowell L. // American Sociologist;Fall90, Vol. 21 Issue 3, p200 

    Articles in both the popular press and sociology journals have argued that between the mid-1970s and mid-1980s sociologists became more pessimistic about the intellectual vitality of their field. Data from the 1969, 1975, and 1984 Carnegie surveys of faculty at U.S. universities suggest that...

  • Forging New Synthesis: Theories and Theorists. Lewis, Reba Rowe // American Sociologist;Fall/Winter91, Vol. 22 Issue 3/4, p221 

    This article argues that sociologists themselves may be partially responsible for the low status of sociology and suggests that efforts toward synthesis of existing theories show considerable promise toward enhancing the scholarly reputation and academic status of the discipline. A more unified...

  • In defence of South African sociology. Uys, Tina // Society in Transition;2004, Vol. 35 Issue 1, p1 

    This paper explores the practical implications of Wallerstein's call for the substitution of an existing culture of sociology by a culture of social science for the future of the sociological project in South Africa. South African sociology is examined in terms of Therborn's three spaces of...

  • Editor's Introduction: Diversity and Collaboration. Nichols, Lawrence T. // American Sociologist;Fall99, Vol. 30 Issue 3, p3 

    The article presents an overview of the topics discussed in the September 1, 1999 issue of The American Sociologists concerning diversity and collaboration. Three papers in this issue address the question of diversity within sociology, with attention to both intellectual and social differences....

Share

Read the Article

Courtesy of VIRGINIA BEACH PUBLIC LIBRARY AND SYSTEM

Sorry, but this item is not currently available from your library.

Try another library?
Sign out of this library

Other Topics