Research on the Prediction of the likely Winners of the Euro 2008 Football Tournament

Ferda Halicioglu
July 2009
Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports;Jul2009, Vol. 5 Issue 3, p1137
Academic Journal
The objective of this research is to provide a statistical measurement to predict the likely winners of international football tournaments with particular reference to the Euro 2008 football tournament. This research argues that there exists a positive relationship between the competitive balance and success in international football tournaments. The level of the competitive balance in a domestic football league is measured by the seasonal coefficients of variation (CV) of the end-of-season points. The CV values are employed as ranking indicators between the contesting countries in international football tournaments to predict the likely winners.


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