TITLE

ARMS CONTROL, INSPECTION AND SURPRISE ATTACK

AUTHOR(S)
Kissinger, Henry A.
PUB. DATE
July 1960
SOURCE
Foreign Affairs;Jul1960, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p557
SOURCE TYPE
Academic Journal
DOC. TYPE
Article
ABSTRACT
The article reports on international diplomacy regarding disarmament, inspection, surprise attack, etc. In the era of call conventional weapons, the force-in-being was not nearly so significant as the industrial potential and the mobilization base. Since surprise was not so crucial, and since victory could generally be achieved only through a prolonged mobilization of resources after a war had started, the contribution which arms control might make to stability seemed marginal. The forces-in-being are almost surely decisive--at least in all-out war. A major cause of instability is the very rate of technological change. No country can protect itself against all the technological possibilities increasingly open to its opponents. The fear of a momentary weakness is compounded by the dangers of being surprised. As long as the retaliatory forces are composed primarily of liquid-fuel missiles and airplanes as they will be until the middle sixties--the side which strikes first will have a perhaps decisive advantage unless the defender's retaliatory force is in a state of high readiness.
ACCESSION #
14718348

 

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