TITLE

North Atlantic Hurricanes 1977–99: Surface Hurricane-Force Wind Radii

AUTHOR(S)
Bell, Katherine; Sawin Ray, Peter
PUB. DATE
May 2004
SOURCE
Monthly Weather Review;May2004, Vol. 132 Issue 5, p1167
SOURCE TYPE
Academic Journal
DOC. TYPE
Article
ABSTRACT
The Hurricane Research Division (NOAA/AMOL/HRD) flight-level data archive of 1977–99 North Atlantic hurricanes is used to create radial profiles of earth-relative surface wind speeds. Radii of hurricane-force winds are determined directly from these generated profiles. The distributions of hurricane-force wind radii stratified by minimum central pressure and quadrant, relative to the direction of storm motion, indicate marked variability among storms. However, a model which uses storm parameters to predict the radius of hurricane-force winds in a given quadrant of a hurricane does seem feasible. Roughly three-quarters of the variance in hurricane-force wind radii of minimal hurricanes and about one-half of the variance in the hurricane-force wind radii major hurricanes is explained by parameters of the storm, enough to make a predictive model of significant value. In addition, cumulative two-dimensional probability distributions of hurricane-force wind radii may have some utility for hurricane loss modelers.
ACCESSION #
13019652

 

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