Forecasting Tropical Cyclogenesis over the Atlantic Basin Using Large-Scale Data

Hennon, Christopher C.; Hobgood, Jay S.
December 2003
Monthly Weather Review;Dec2003, Vol. 131 Issue 12, p2927
Academic Journal
Develops a probabilistic prediction system for tropical cyclogenesis using a dataset of tropical cloud clusters, which formed or propagated over the Atlantic basin during the 1988-2000 hurricane seasons. Use of data from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction-National Center for Atmospheric Research; Employment of discriminant analysis to find a linear combination of the predictors that best separates the developing cloud clusters and nondeveloping systems.


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