Tomorrow's army: The challenge of nonlinear change

Echevarria II, Antulio J.
September 1998
Parameters: U.S. Army War College;Autumn98, Vol. 28 Issue 3, p85
Academic Journal
Shows how American and other military and civilian futurists missed the mark during the turn of the century in anticipating technology's effects on warfare. Use of nonlinearity theory and RAND's assumption-based planning model to examine the quest for certainty; Need to blend formalism and intuitive insight to cope with planning in uncertain times.


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